public opinion polling
Public Opinion Polling Late Nominee Shock vs Pre-Midterm Cooldown
Unseen bolt: 32% of high-profile polls change dramatically after a last-minute nominee emerges. This shock swings voter sentiment far beyond the usual pre-midterm cooling period, reshaping campaign narratives and fundraising. In South Korea’s 2025 presidential race, the effect has already shifted poll margins by up to 20 points. Public